财政分权、政府竞争与经济增长质量

论文总字数：27296字

摘 要

改革开放40年来，中国经济取得了飞速发展。在年均增长保持12.6%的增速下，中国的经济增长质量也获得了一定程度的提升。对此，学者们对推进中国经济增长质量的效果和原因进行了广泛的研究。本文从政治经济学视角出发，构建了涵盖30个基础指标的经济增长质量指标评价体系，并用主成分分析法测度了中国29个省区市1996-2016年的经济增长质量指数，同时将财政分权细分为财政收入分权和财政支出分权进行了测算，并从“晋升锦标赛”的角度出发测算了地方政府竞争指数，研究了财政分权和政府竞争对中国经济增长质量的影响，并对其影响机制进行了分析，发现财政分权对经济增长质量有显著的正向影响，而适度的政府竞争可以促进经济增长质量的提高，过度的政府竞争则会抑制经济增长质量。最后，根据研究得到的结论提出了相应的政策建议。

关键词：经济增长质量 财政分权 政府竞争 主成分分析法

Abstract

Over the past 40 years, the rapid development of China's reform and opening up has been concerned in the world. Scholars have tried to explore the driving force behind the rapid development of China's economy from institutional factors such as the competition of the local government and fiscal decentralization. However, different methods and different perspectives of study make so many scholars have different conclusions. In the context of China's new economic normality, the quality of economic growth has been a topic among the scholars. The quality of economic growth, as a term often mentioned in recent years, is familiar to many people, but the definition of economic growth quality has not been determined in the academic circle. This paper constructs an evaluation system of economic growth quality index covering 30 basic indicators from a broad perspective, and measures the economic growth quality index of 29 provinces and municipalities in China using principal component analysis. The fiscal decentralization is also measured by being divided into fiscal revenue decentralization and fiscal expenditure decentralization. The local government competition index is measured from the perspective of promotion championship. Then, through the panel data of 29 provinces and municipalities in China from 1996 to 2016, we studied the impact of fiscal decentralization and government competition on the quality of China's economic growth, and analyzed its influence mechanism. We found that fiscal decentralization has a significant positive effect on the quality of economic growth, and moderate government competition can improve the quality of economic growth, while excessive government competition will restrain the quality of economic growth. In the end, according to the conclusion of the research, the feasible policy Suggestions are put forward.

KEY WORDS: Quality of economic growth; Fiscal decentralization; Competition of the local government; Principal component analysis

目录

摘 要 Ⅰ

Abstract Ⅱ

第一章 引言 1

1.1选题背景 1

1.1.1理论背景 1

1.1.2现实背景 1

1.2研究意义 2

1.2.1理论意义 2

1.2.2实践意义 3

1.3研究目的、研究内容及技术路线 3

1.3.1研究目的 3

1.3.2研究内容及技术路线 4

1.4研究方法 5

1.5创新之处 6

1.6本章小结 6

第二章 文献综述 8

2.1 经济增长质量的概念界定 8

2.1.1经济增长质量的内涵 8

2.1.2经济增长质量的测度 9

2.2理论基础 10

2.2.1经济增长理论 10

2.2.2经济增长质量的相关理论 11

2.3中国经济增长的政治经济学研究 12

2.3.1财政分权对地区经济增长的相关经验研究 12

2.3.2政府竞争对地区经济增长的相关经验研究 13

2.4本章小结 14

第三章 经济增长质量的测度及机制分析 16

3.1经济增长质量指标体系的构建 16

3.2变量选取与数据说明 16

3.3指数测算和对比分析 18

3.4机制分析和理论假说 21

3.5本章小结 24

第四章 财政分权，政府竞争对经济增长质量影响的研究 26

4.1模型选取、变量解释与数据来源 26

4.2实证分析和结果探讨 27

4.3本章小结 32

第五章 主要结论与政策建议 33

5.1主要结论 33

5.2政策建议 33

5.3研究不足及展望 35

致 谢 36

参考文献 37

第一章 引言

1.1选题背景

1.1.1理论背景

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