论文总字数：31228字

摘 要

近年来，中国一共与14个国家和地区签订了自由贸易协定，建设速度逐步加快。中韩自贸协定经历漫长的过程，谈判14轮后终于成功签订。中韩FTA的签订对中国与韩国都发挥着不容忽视的作用，因此，研究这一问题对我国未来把握对韩贸易的方向具有重要的意义。

在本文的研究中，综合了定性分析与定量分析。在对中韩经济贸易关系变化情况进行分析时，采用了比较分析的方法，比较了中国和韩国的进口、出口规模，还对中韩两国进、出口结构的差异进行了具体分析。并通过对比双边贸易的商品结构，分析中韩产业内贸易现状。中韩贸易中存在诸多问题，我们关心的是中方贸易逆差，在本文中以农产品作为分析对象，对这一问题进行了深入探讨。

本文研究的重点是自贸协议对中韩贸易的影响。首先运用国际贸易理论，分析签订中韩FTA之后贸易创造带来的福利效应，通过图形反映国内福利的变化。由于政策具有时滞性，且当前国际形势不容乐观，中韩两国经济呈现疲态，中韩FTA签订后贸易额不升反降。中韩FTA签订时间短，数据分析的代表性不好，因此本文还分析了FTA对中韩贸易的预期影响。

在本文的最后一部分，从三个角度给出了政策建议。首先，就贸易结构方面，中国应该加大科技投入，提高创新，自助研发在国际市场具有竞争力的产品，对内积极转型，对外优化贸易结构。其次，就中方贸易逆差方面，中韩政府都应该正视这一问题，积极为两国贸易创造更加公平、透明的贸易条件。最后，中韩FTA的成功签订，为中日韩FTA的建立打下了基础，也为构建东亚经济圈创造了优势条件，促进了东亚经济一体化；未来中国应该积极完成与各方的谈判，打造中国面向全球的FTA网络体系。

关键词：中韩FTA 中韩贸易关系 双边自由贸易

Analysis of the Influence of

Free Trade Agreement on Bilateral Trade

Between China and South Korea

Abstract

In recent years, China has signed 14 free trade agreements with different countries. The speed of setting up FTA is gradually accelerated. China and South Korea FTA has experienced a long process. After 14 rounds of negotiations, it finally signed successfully. China and South Korea FTA has played an important role to bilateral trade. Therefore, the study of this issue is of great significance for China to grasp the direction to Korean trade in the future.

In this study, we combine the qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis. We also use comparative analysis when analyzing changes of trade relations between the two countries. Besides, we compare the scale of import and export and analyze trade structure in detail. By contrasting the commodity structure of bilateral trade, we explain intra-industry trade. There are many trade problems between China and South Korea, but what we concerned most is trade deficit of China. We choose agricultural products as the most typical one to discuss this problem in depth.

The focus of this paper is the impact of FTA on bilateral trade between China and South Korea. First of all, we use welfare effects from international trade theory to observe changes in domestic welfare. Then we collect data to see if there are increase in trade flows. Due to time lag of the policy, the bad situation of international economics and weakness of China and South Korea economy, the volume of trade shows falling instead of rising after signing FTA. Since China and South Korea FTA only signed for a short time, data analysis is incomplete. So we analyzes the expected impact of FTA on trade.

In the last part of this paper, policy recommendations are given from three aspects. Firstly, China should increase investment in science and technology, enhance innovation and develop competitive products in the world market. Secondly, China and South Korea should both address China’s trade deficit. The government should actively create a more fair and transparent trade conditions for bilateral trade. Finally, the success of the China-Korea FTA lays a foundation for the establishment of FTA among China, Japan and South Korea. It creates advantages for East Asia Economic Circle and promotes the economic integration in East Asia. In the future, China should continue completing negotiations with the parties to build China’s global FTA network system.

Key Words：China and South Korea FTA ; Trade relations between China and South Korea; Bilateral free trade

目 录

摘 要 I

Abstract II

第一章 导言 1

1.1研究背景 1

1.2 研究意义 1

1.3 研究方法和研究路线 2

1.4 本文框架 2

第二章 相关理论与文献综述 4

2.1 FTA协议的相关概念与内容 4

2.2 FTA协议的理论框架 4

2.2.1 签订FTA的原因——贸易政策博弈 4

2.2.2 签订FTA的变化——贸易创造 5

2.3 中韩FTA的相关文献 5

第三章 中韩双边贸易关系发展演变及存在问题与分析 8

3.1 中韩两国要素禀赋差异 8

3.2 中韩两国双边贸易关系变化 9

3.2.1 贸易规模 9

3.2.2 贸易结构 12

3.2.3 中韩产业内贸易 14

3.3 中韩贸易在中国对外贸易中的地位 15

3.4 中韩贸易存在的问题与分析 16

3.4.1 中方贸易逆差问题 16

3.4.2 平衡中国对外贸易 18

第四章 FTA对中韩双边贸易的影响与展望 19

4.1 签订中韩FTA的福利变化 19

4.2 签订FTA对双边贸易的影响 20

4.2.1 中国-新西兰FTA 20

4.2.2 中国-韩国FTA 21

4.3 FTA对中韩贸易的预期影响 22

第五章 结论与对策建议 24

5.1 对优化中国贸易结构的建议 24

5.2 对缩小中方贸易逆差的建议 24

5.3 对中国构建全面自由贸易区的建议 24

致 谢 26

参考文献 27

第一章 导言

1.1研究背景

自中国实施建设自贸区的战略以来，已经成功签订了14个自由贸易协定。查阅中国自贸区服务网，我们可以发现，其中不仅包括新西兰、瑞士这样的发达国家，还有东盟经济体，当然最主要的是亚洲国家，如新加坡、巴基斯坦。韩国是中国的邻国，双方为建设FTA都做出了许多努力。

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